As 2025 nears its final 100 calendar days, market focus is already beginning to turn forward and attempt to reconcile what market drivers could remain in place, and what could change in the first year of the new half-decade. While not an exhaustive list, here’s some of our early keys to 2026.

AI-related business investment is rapidly becoming a cornerstone of U.S. economic growth, marking a structural shift in how expansion is financed and sustained. In the first half of 2025, investment in information-processing equipment and software — largely driven by AI infrastructure — is a small yet mighty slice of the economy, yet contributed a majority to economic growth during that period.

The S&P 500 is over halfway through Q3 earnings season, and results have been impressive. Of the 318 companies that have reported results, 83% have surpassed earnings per share (EPS) estimates, notably above the 10-year average beat rate of 75%, according to FactSet.