Research
Weekly Market Commentary | What History Teaches Us About Fed Hikes & Stocks | September 14, 2026
Printer Friendly Version A hot CPI print. Friday’s slightly hot Consumer Price Index (CPI) report lifted the bond market’s odds of a rate hike from the Federal Reserve (Fed) this week to near 90%. Markets take it in stride. The positive reactions from stocks and bonds were interesting, suggesting that perhaps market participants have been…
Weekly Market Commentary | Signs Point to a Normalization, Not a Crisis | September 8, 2026
August delivered the loudest bond market narrative in years, and almost none of it survived contact with the price action. Total public debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 5.33% intraweek, a level last seen in 2007.
Weekly Market Commentary | The Cash Flow Case for Value Stocks | August 31, 2026
LPL Research explores why value stocks are outperforming, how free cash flow drives returns, and the impact of AI spending on markets.
Outlook
LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2026: Thoughts on the Second Half
Navigate markets with LPL Research’s 2026 Midyear Outlook, with insights on stocks, bonds, the economy, and more. Explore what to expect over the second half of 2026.
2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine
In 2026, we observed a market environment where fiscal and monetary policy decisions, rather than traditional business fundamentals, were the primary drivers of market direction. This shift means that policy influence and market momentum have become significantly more impactful in shaping market trends, often overshadowing underlying economic performance…
Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy…
Weekly Market Insights
Weekly Market Insights | CPI Holds Steady; Investors Await Fed Action
Stocks fell over a shortened trading week as higher oil prices rattled investors. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index declined 0.80 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index edged down 0.66 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.57 percent. The MSCI EAFE...
Weekly Market Insights | Stocks Upbeat on AI; Warsh: “Less is More.”
Stocks rebounded last week as falling bond yields and upbeat AI-related corporate reports rekindled positive market sentiment despite the Fed Chair's slightly hawkish speech. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index gained 0.49 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index...
Weekly Market Insights | Stocks Slip; Attention Shifts to Bonds
Stocks declined last week as global investors fretted about oil-supply-induced inflation. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index declined 1.43 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index slid 2.05 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.85 percent. The MSCI...