Research
Weekly Market Commentary | Keep Calm and Clip Coupons | July 13, 2026
Coming into 2026, we expected inflation to move closer to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 2% target, the Fed to cut rates by roughly 75 basis points (bps), and Treasury yields to drift lower.
Weekly Market Commentary | Is the Stock Market’s Rally a Sign of Excess? | June 29, 2026
Has Stock Market Exuberance Become Irrational? Printer Friendly Version A strong quarter across major indexes. The second quarter is winding down and what a quarter it has been with the S&P 500 up 12.6% quarter to date, while the Nasdaq-100 and Russell 2000 are both up over 20%. Despite some twists and turns, the path of…
Weekly Market Commentary | Kevin Warsh Could Shake Up the Fed | June 22, 2026
LPL Research examines Warsh’s evolving Fed approach, infrastructure-led growth, and the impact of China demand on oil prices.
Outlook
2026 Outlook: The Policy Engine
In 2026, we observed a market environment where fiscal and monetary policy decisions, rather than traditional business fundamentals, were the primary drivers of market direction. This shift means that policy influence and market momentum have become significantly more impactful in shaping market trends, often overshadowing underlying economic performance…
Midyear Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism, Measured Expectations
We started 2025 on a high note, although we acknowledged that “no market environment is ever permanent, and that change is always potentially around the corner.” Well change did come, and with it, volatility, perhaps in part because we assumed President Trump’s policies would simply mirror those of his prior term. The impact of policy…
Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism
Outlook 2025: Pragmatic Optimism By LPL Financial Research Looking back, 2024 clearly echoed many of the themes from 2023. By and large, the economy continued to defy expectations and surprised once again. Stocks continued their strong performance, driven by powerful…
Weekly Market Insights
Weekly Market Insights | Chip Rally Lifts the Week
Stocks largely advanced over a V-shaped week as the AI trade, led by chip stocks, pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq averages higher amid renewed conflict. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.23 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 1.74 percent....
Weekly Market Insights | Markets Close Quarter Strong, Shrug Off Weak Jobs Report.
Markets notched a solid gain over a shortened trading week as investors cheered ongoing diplomatic efforts in the Middle East. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 1.77 percent, while the Nasdaq Composite Index advanced 2.12 percent. The Dow Jones Industrial...
Weekly Market Insights | Tech Steps Back. Banks, Healthcare, and Industrials Step Forward
Stocks ended mixed as falling oil prices helped lift the Dow Industrials, while concerns about AI valuation put pressure on the broader market. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 1.95 percent while the Nasdaq Composite Index skidded 4.60 percent. The Dow Jones...